Thursday, December 22, 2011

Is Ron Paul Capable of Providing for the Common Defense?

In an earlier article I posited that presidential candidate Ron Paul is dangerous in his views on foreign policy. In this article, I will examine, in more detail, why I believe this to be true.

Paul has expressed his desire to gut the military,  has also shown persistent reluctance to use the military, or to even spell out under what conditions he'd be willing to defend the United States. A Commander-in-Chief's first responsibility is to protect the citizenry, per the Constitution Paul loudly proclaims to support. Ron Paul's foreign policy tenets need to be more closely examined against the backdrop of some real world scenarios now occurring.

Paul's supporters portray him as non-interventionist. This is the first thing Ron Paul proposes about his foreign policy - non-intervention. This is just another way of saying Isolationist. An example of this non-intervention is Paul advocating for leaving the Iranians and the Mexican Drug Cartels alone. This is dangerous policy. I will explain why later. Paul's "hand's off" policies are actually no different than the current Obama Administration's policies toward Iran and the Cartels. To choose to do nothing is to make a choice.

Sanctions have been proposed as an answer to Iran, and are summarily rejected as ineffective by Congressman Paul...I disagree. South Africa and their "Apartheid" policy was dismantled because of foreign sanctions. Sanctions usually have a better desired result when supported by most, if not all, nations. The reason they haven't worked with North Korea is because of China's continued support. The proposed sanctions on Iran would have a higher probability of working because what is being proposed is to sanction banks and companies that do business with the Central Bank of Iran, the main financier of the Iranian government. Most of Western Europe is ready to do this, but again, the Obama Administration is dragging its feet. By impinging their money supply, of which 80% of its exports are oil and gas related, the drop in business would strangle Iran. The internal unrest this would bring would help create a climate of political change such as we witnessed two years ago. At that time, the Obama Administration refused to speak up in support of the Iranian people who marched in the streets for democracy. Here are the Iranian people, who desire democracy, and our government wouldn't support them. Yet we backed the Arab Spring that toppled three countries governments and has served to advance the Anti-American Muslim Brotherhood in its efforts to acquire power in the Middle East. What is ironic is that we have advanced the radical Islamic agenda, and are proud of having done that, while rejecting a nation of people who truly desire a more democratic government.

Iran is not on a par with a nation such as Imperial Japan was, in its reach militarily. Sanctions did provoke Japan to attack us. Japan was, in that era, unlike Iran today, a world class military power. The impact Iran has, militarily, is economically driven. They can make oil exports through the Strait of Hormuz a problem, rattling international markets and driving up the price of oil for awhile. Their proxies, Hamas and Hezbollah, can create similar problems by stirring up Mid-East issues with Israel. But, over a long period of time, Iran isn't equipped to sustain a military response such as Japan was able to do - unless they acquire a nuclear weapon. That is a game changer that cannot be overstated enough.

In the meantime, consider this: Iran and Venezuela are in close cooperation with each other. There is a growing body of evidence that Iran, with Venezuela's help, is conducting military exercises and ops in our hemisphere. Evidence is also coming forth of an attempt to ally with the Mexican Drug Cartels to place agents near or inside America for the purpose of expanding the drug trade and implementing cyber warfare upon our government. Iran's terrorist proxies, Hamas and Hezbollah, are currently major players in the Venezuelan and Mexican drug trade of financing and shipping drugs to the United States and Europe.

Place this in the context of the recent Iranian attack on the British Embassy, the attempted assassination of the Saudi Ambassador on our own soil and, as stated above, its expanding influence in Latin America, and it's easy to see that they are already at war with us. There is definitely a linkage of criminal organizations, terrorist groups, and rogue governments coalescing against the United States; and the Obama Administration is sitting idly by doing little to nothing. All of this, by itself, is disturbing. When you factor in the stated foreign policy objectives of a Ron Paul Presidency, it is an inescapable conclusion that Paul's foreign policy would run to the left of Barack Obama's. Then too, the issues of the ever increasing military power of China, and Russia with its nuclear arsenal, are topics that Congressman Paul hasn't adequately explained.

With the advent of the Internet's capability to marshal the power of a society's people, and it's unquestioned ability to spread information, the United States must be prepared to meet any crisis at a moment's notice, both conventional and unconventional. Who could have predicted all of the unrest we've witnessed in the last ten years? The rise of Islamic Jihad and terrorists who brought us 9-11? The Arab Spring?
In just a matter of months our government has had to switch its focus from Iraq to Afghanistan, to Israel, Pakistan, Egypt, Libya, Iran, and Japan. Today's challenges are more apt to be instantaneous and unpredictable than pro forma, as they were, in the Cold War of the 50's to 90's. Our military today is roughly half the size it was during the Reagan Presidency, and yet, the demands upon it are increasing while we continue to downsize in a world that is becoming more unstable and volatile.

I honestly believe that the best way to engage these challenges is to expand our military, be prepared to engage in new military technologies that will protect our nation, and to become more involved and coherent in our foreign policy, including appropriate sanctions, to prevent nations such as Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons. All of these foreign policy positions are ones Congressman Paul has continuously rejected.
Based upon the evidence presented, Congressman Paul would not be the best suited to protect this great nation of ours. His non-interventionist policies would only serve to embolden our enemies and place us in greater peril.

At this moment, sanctions may be the only way to contain Iran, short of war. We all should fear a nuclear armed Iran. Congressman Paul has stated his willingness to let Iran acquire nuclear status. I am also fairly certain that the Israeli's will have something to say about Iran acquiring nuclear weapons. That's a topic for another day.

Submitted by:

Joe O'Neill

9 comments:

  1. Sorry, Joe Im in the military and we cannot afford the military we have. It is certainly not going to get any bigger given current fiscal situation.
    Being a non-interventionist is not the same as being an isolationist.
    In the case of both Iran, doing nothing may be the best way to see it implode on itself. Just like what we are letting happen in Syria.
    Your argument isnot convincing to those of us who have see how the military has been abused by past adminstrations. Walk softly, carry a big stick is a much better policy which it seems to me, is Ron Pauls policy.

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  2. Phil -
    Appreciate the insight. Thank you for your service!

    We definitely need to get our fiscal house in order. I'm concerned that, if the current status holds, monies will be withheld from the military and thrown down a social program rathole.

    I disagree with you on the non-intervention/isolationist stance. To me, it's one and the same. Congressman Paul's well known support of drug legalization plays right into his non-intervention (your word) of the Drug Cartels. As I noted, Iran, Venezuela, and terrorist groups are beginning to forge alliances that are dangerous to our national security.

    There are no guarantees that Syria will implode on its own. Just today, Fox News ran a snippet on how Iran is resupplying Syria with ammunition, weapons, and manpower traveling by civilian airline. Iran uses Syria as an important ally and proxy in its efforts against Israel. They cannot afford to lose Syria.

    Two years ago, over a million and a half Iranians marched for democracy. We watched (non-intervention again) and did nothing as the Republican Guard ruthlessly put it down. We didn't even speak up diplomatically on their behalf. We need to bring to bear every means possible to bring about a regime change of their government before they acquire nuclear status. The problem is they're also focusing on having in place modern missle delivery systems along with their warheads. There may come a point where war is the needed response, but we may be to late by then. Non-intervention/isolationism isn't the answer we need with Iran.

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  3. I am a retired Marine. What Paul would want is no talk and carry a twig! That's all we would have left after he guns our military. Reagan once said that America never went to war after being too strong. If we show weakness our enemies will take maximum advantage of that!

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  4. IT is interesting that Ron Paul has received more financial support from military families than all of the other candidates combined. Why do you think that is the case?

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  5. I'm skeptical of all the "sky will fall" arguments used to discredit certain political candidates. They distract us from focusing on the qualifications of the candidate and use speculative slippery slope reasoning to air some fear.

    Joe is asking the wrong question, "Is Ron Paul Capable of Providing for the Common Defense?" Is that what an American President does? Nope. That is the job of the Armed Forces.

    Ron Paul is a veteran, an honorable man, and a extremely well regarded Congressman. We have a government system in the US with three distinct branches of government that function to check and balance the powers of the other two branches. Congress and the Supreme Court will not disappear if Ron Paul is elected. Unconventional is not a bad thing.

    Another former Marine and vet of OEF for Ron Paul 2012!

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  6. Yes, it is an interesting stat, one that deserves an answer. First, we elect our leaders to make tough decisions, such as national security.

    Sometimes, this creates an imposition, such as the military and our wars of the last ten years. I would imagine that many of those donors are rightfully tired of war. However, the President has to make decisions that sometimes negatively affect portions of our population, such as the military. This is part of the equation the all-volunteer forces we have serving the nation must accept as part of their service. While they're probably tired of the hardship, it nevertheless is part of the acceptance of serving.

    Regarding the amounts of monies raised that I was able to research, while Paul does exceed other candidates, viewed from the numbers of all active duty personnel, the amounts are not significantly large. That is a significant stat not mentioned. It merely means that of the donated monies, which is in large measure small when compared to all active duty personnel, most of those monies went to Paul.

    As to Congressman Paul's campaign goal of reducing the military by up to 50%...if he accomplishes that goal, then that means there will be significantly large numbers of personnel who will be let go from active duty service. Many of these will have over 10 years of active duty service, but will not have reached the 18th year of "Sanctuary", where their retirement is protected. Couple that with the fact they will be let go at a time of a declining economy, and Paul would be releasing them into a state of unemployment. Not a smart move by Congressman Paul and a shortsighted view of those who support him.

    Finally, and I don't want to get too deep here, but consider this: every war we've had, we've always been attacked when we were at our weakest, or considered weak by our adversaries.

    Our current military is half the size it was under Reagan. Paul wants to reduce that....think on that. We are inviting more agression if he does that.

    Under Britain, we were taxed to pay for the French and Indian War; that lead to the Revolution. Barbary Pirate Wars, our shipping was attacked and we paid tribute. War of 1812, our shipping was preyed upon by the British and we were too weak to stop it. Hell, we were invaded. WWI...our sovereignty wasn't respected by Germany because they thought we were weak and isolated. WWII...the Japanese thought we were weak and attacked us at Pearl Harbor. Korea, the same thing. We weren't ready for war and nearly got pushed into the Sea. Modern day, it's the same thing. Even Bin Laden said we were a "Paper Tiger." Look at any of our wars, and you can honestly say we were pushed into them by circumstances that were precipitated by our being unprepared. Reagan's build up of the military, along with Thatcher's support in Britain, and Pope John Paul's moral imperatives upon the Soviet Union, broke the Soviets and brought an end to the Cold War and East Germany. Reagan had it right - Peace through Strength...it works.

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  7. Confusing non-intervention with isolation is like comparing apples to planaria worms. To suggest non-intervention policies toward Drug Cartels is simply ludicrous.

    Paul's stance on the war on drugs, as I've studied it and in my own words, amounts to saying we spend billions putting citizens in jail becuse they had a doobie. Then we release them because there are more dire crimes being committed that require putting dangerous criminals in jail. How many decades of failed "war on drug" policy must pass before we acknowledge there is a better way...just like we did with prohibition? Paul isn't saying "hey, everybody! Free heroin!" His policy is ultimately, the Federal government has no business telling you what to put in your body. "Legalizing" drugs is the extreme manifestation of that maxim and Paul extends his support of his policy to drugs, but adds to it that we save money and increase revenue by legalizing drugs. Again, my words after some research. (If I have a gripe against Paul, it's that he delivers his message in a way that people can and do mis-interpret what he's saying. Not such a good thing for a President, but he's improving.)

    Next, isolation vs. non-intervention. The word of the month is blowback. Remember that. The CIA reported to the President that the primary motive for the 9/11 bombings dates back to our abandonment of our then-ally...Osama bin Laden. Yes, in the 80's when the Soviets were invading Afghanistan, we provided arms and support to OBL. When he needed more support, we pulled the rug out from under him and made a life-long enemy. We have meddled since at least 1953, when we overthrew the Iranian government and put our puppet, the Shah of Iran, in power. Same with those evil men, Saddam Hussein, Mohammar Ghadaffi, Hosni Mubarak, and others. It is these actions that piss off the Muslims. Look at Egypt and Libya, they overthrew our former-puppets and did they institute democratic governments? Not really, they fell back on what they generally want: Sharia Law. And we keep telling them NO! So...they keep turning on us. This is *well documented* in CIA, NSA and independent reports.

    It absolutely begs the question of what would happen if we didn't interfere! This is at the core of Paul's policy. Let sovereign nations rule themselves. Use diplomacy. When Iran goes nuclear, offer to work with them to focus that technology and power to improve their standard of living, not wage war.

    The thing that swung me to embrace this theory is putting the shoe on the other foot. Someone suggested that using our current warmongering maxim of policing the world, how would it apply to China if they felt our foreign policy de-stabilized the region or global economics? If China invaded a sovereign nation (the U.S.) wihtout UN approval (like we did with Iraq) to assert their politics and economics upon us, are they justified in doing that?

    The clear answer is no. And that makes our approach untrue.

    FWIW,

    Kev

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  8. While I appreciate the views Ron Paul espouses, I cannot help but like it to the Appeasement policy prior to WWII, when we left the security of our country and then the world to those who had no hope of providing it.

    France, England, Austria, all of Eastern Europe….We were weak (pledging neutrality), England was weak, France was weak and all were in favor of appeasement. Just what we are doing now.

    Please Iran, don’t build nuclear weapons-sounds very much like Neville Chamberlain and his cohorts who brought the world the Munich Accord:

    “My good friends, this is the second time there has come back from Germany to Downing Street peace with honor. I believe it is peace for our time. We thank you from the bottom of our hearts. Now I recommend you go home, and sleep quietly in your beds.”
    Sounds exactly what Ron Paul wants us to do.

    Just as the European “Powers” gave away Czech, Austria and at some point all of Europe, Ron Paul (and our current president) appears to want to give away Israel and all of our allies and our position of leadership in the world today.

    Here are several other quotes that might be somewhat enlightening:

    Churchill told the House of Commons, "England has been offered a choice between war and shame. She has chosen shame, and will get war."

    “Si vis pacem, para bellum” is a Latin adage translated as, "If you wish for peace, prepare for war". This has never failed us.

    C Clark, USMC (ret).

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  9. I have extensive comments to make. Just don't have the time at the moment. I hope to be back.

    In the meantime, I'm a US Marine, Gulf War era veteran. Chose not to extend my enlistment after the American people elected Clinton President. Voted GW Bush primary, and general twice. I'm as Republican as we come. Didn't think we should've gone into Iraq, but left it to the experts in DC, and when they said Go, my support followed 100%.

    First, I want to say thank you to Joe -- and the other non-anonymous posters -- for having the guts to put themselves out there. And to the Anonymous posters as well. I'm not saying they posted anonymously because they have no guts. They may have. But they may not have, too.

    Anyway, I jut want to point out one simple thing:
    The rest of the world, save thinkers in the UK and other countries descendant of British colonialism, would love for US to fall.
    So they're breaking us. Just like we did to the Soviet Union in the '80s.
    Wake the fudge up.
    Follow the money.
    Rome fell apart because it went broke.
    Great Britain's vast and proud empire disappeared because, ultimately, it just simply could not afford to hold it together.
    We broke the Soviet Union.
    Lots of other stuff has happened.
    Now, we're about to go broke. Puff up your chest all you want, badass. Start another war to keep our minds off what's really going on right here at home. As sure as the music really did stop in the mortgage meltdown, it'll stop in the world hegemony market. Who will have a seat?

    Preparing for war doesn't mean continue to extend yourself beyond your capabilities, beyond your treasuries, across the sea, as the Romans, the Britons and others before and since allowed.

    Obama is hardly a pacifist. He is hardly anti-war. The wars we were in before his election, we're still in. Our embassy in Iraq has 17,000 or 19,000 some-odd employees. Most of which are contractors. Mercenaries. Got nothin' against 'em. Thank God for 'em. But don't tell me the war is over, ya bullshitter.

    So now we want war with Iran.

    What the f*ck for?

    Jobs?

    Is that good enough?

    Not to me.

    Support our troops. Support Ron Paul. Our troops support Ron Paul.

    Like I said, there's so much to say here. So much to point out. Thanks again for your opinions. God bless, and Happy New Year --

    Semper Fi

    Jim Martell

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